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La Segreteria di Stato dell'economia (SECO) prevede che l'economia svizzera cadrà in recessione quest'anno. Sotto l'effetto della crisi del coronavirus, il prodotto interno lordo dovrebbe contrarsi dell'1,3%, ha indicato l'organismo bernese, confermando quanto annunciato anche dalla Banca nazionale svizzera giovedì, che ha parlato di crescita negativa per il 2020.
L'ultima stima della SECO, risalente a dicembre, era di +1,7%. Corretta dagli effetti dei grandi eventi sportivi, la flessione del PIL dovrebbe essere dell'1,5% (+1,3% nella stima di tre mesi or sono). La disoccupazione dovrebbe salire ad una media nazionale del 2,8%, contro il 2,4% previsto a dicembre. A causa delle incertezze e del minore utilizzo della capacità produttiva, inoltre, è prevedibile che le società ridurranno drasticamente i loro investimenti.
Le dichiarazioni di Eric Scheidegger, capo della politica economica alla SECO
RSI 19.03.2020, 17:41
Se la situazione epidemiologica si stabilizzerà nel corso del 2020, gli esperti prevedono una ripresa dell'economia nella seconda metà dell'anno. Per il 2021, la SECO prevede un rimbalzo del 3,3%, rispetto all'1,6% previsto a dicembre.
L'economia svizzera verso la recessione
Telegiornale 19.03.2020, 21:00
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