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Il franco svizzero resterà fortemente sopravvalutato rispetto all’euro. Lo prevedono gli analisti di UBS secondo cui il tasso di cambio si muoverà attorno alla parità nei prossimi sei mesi. Oggi si situa a circa 1,05 franchi per un euro.
L’attesa di un leggero rafforzamento della moneta unica è dovuta alle previsioni di una crescita sostenuta in Europa. In questo quadro la Banca nazionale dovrebbe confermare i tassi negativi anche il prossimo anno.
Riguardo alla crescita economica UBS conferma l'attesa di un'espansione del prodotto interno lordo dello 0,5% quest'anno e dell'1,1% nel 2016.
ATS/mas
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